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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 118 (some duplicates have been removed)
vote by one point and obama wins ohio and iowa by one point that is possible, maybe a one or two-point shift but there is most no way to look at the historof tsounry or try to do the more complex things, the mathematical models unlikely to have romney win the popular and have him lose the electorial college. >> rose: the sites and sounds of hurricane sandy, mark halperin and nate silver when we continue. funding for charlie rose was provided by the following. additional funding provided by these funders. and by bloomberg, a provider of multimedia news and information services worldwide. captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> hurricane sandy barreled through the northeast last night, the devastating impact was wide-ranging, cities and towns were hammered by the storm that left many without power and other vital resources. here are some of the sights and sound of the storm as scene on cbs this morning. we knew this was going to be a very dangerous storm and the storm has met our expectations. >> it is underassess righ
, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what we call the tipping point states that would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference it to ot
, but -- >> then why a are polls all over the place? not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >
and ohio. and president obama also has stops planned in wisconsin and virginia still to go. we have live team coverage over the next two hours and chief white house correspondant edhenry. first governor romney will end his day. >> good afternoon. there is talk on the campaign trail about something that president obama said yesterday when he was in ohio. he does this and said something about governor romney and the audience said don't boo but vote. he talked about senate cand date governor romney was opposed to clinton tax increases. listen to where he took that yesterday. at the time the republican congress and a senate candidate by the name of romney. no, no, no. don't boo vote. vote. vote is the best revenge. voting is the best revenge. that is not a thing for the president to say. romney campaign has a new adout that looks as a strange thing for the president to say and an odd reason to vote. mitt romney worked that in new hampshire speech. >> yesterday, the president said something you may have heard by now that surprised a lot of people. speaking to the audience. he said voting is t
important ohio is. president obama holding a four-point lead in this new poll, slightly outside the margin of error and significantly right at the crucial 50% mark. so the question is, what is driving the numbers in ohio right now? chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our survey, the president has a narrow lead among ohio voters who define themselves as independents. that is the battleground in a big battleground state, if you win the independents you are likely to win. governor romney close but the president with an important edge among independent voters. there's also an age divide, if you look at likely voters in ohio. among voters under the
,000 vote flip which is the margin by which obama won ohio in 2008. secondly, ohio is a republican state. 20 of the last 24 years we had republican governors. the legislature is overwhelmingly republican. every elected member of the supreme court of ohio is republican. 75% of elected officials in 88 counties are republicans. and thirdly, by independent voting measures, 10% to 15% of independent voters in ohio are going to vote for mitt romney. and also the catholic church when i go to saint sin vent in kenwood in since is national the minister is telling us vote for religious freedom. vote for the biblical definition of marriage. vote for life. there is half a million catholics energized in south, ohio, to pull the lever for mitt romney. mitt romney will win, ohio, and is going to win ohio easily. >> sean: wisconsin? >> wisconsin will go for romney because what walker did and what ryan did made it possible for mitt romney to win wisconsin. let's face it, tonight in westchester, 30,000 people came to butler county, ohio, the most important county and the most important state in the the union
. they are on the campaign trail with four days to go into the elections. president obama has three stops in ohio. coming up in about 15 minutes here on c-span, we will take you to the first stop of the day in hilltard outside columbus. the first lady michelle obama is campaigning in virginia today. at 5:30 eastern, we will take you to petersburg where she will be speaking with supporters. tonight on c-span, mitt romney and paul brian will be joined by their wives for a rally in west chester, ohio. another big names are appearing including condoleezza rice and senator john mccain this evening at 7:30 eastern and we will have that live on c-span. while we wait to hear from president obama in ohio, part of this morning's "washington journal," good morning to you. i want to assure you that 2012 battleground map we have been featuring for the last week or so here on the "washington journal." assuring the swing states in this election. this morning on the washington journal, we want to hear from the voters in the non-yellow states. everyone else in a blue, give us a call. we want to hear what you think about cam
president obama looking to close the deal in the crucial battle ground state of ohio. this is from mentor, ohio where the president is just about to speak. we're watching that very closely. before heading to today's event, though, the president visited fema headquarters to get a response to the efforts of aftermath of hurricane sandy. he is sending -- >> we don't have any patience for bureaucracy. we don't have any patience for red tape. and we want to make sure that we are figuring out a way to get to yes as opposed to no when it comes to these problems. >> meanwhile, mitt romney also has his sights on several key swing states today, starting with new hampshire. >> you saw the differences between barack obama and me in those debates. i like those debates. i got to be honest. i mean, he says it has to be this way. i say it can't stay this way. he's offering excuses. i'm offering a plan. i can't wait to get started. >> mitt romney will also visit iowa and colorado today, running mate paul ryan already wrapped up an event today in ohio. he now heads to pennsylvania, virginia and florida. we
this point forward until election day. ohio and wisconsin are clearly part of president obama's midwestern firewall, if you will, trying to make sure that mitt romney does not have a path to get to 260 electoral votes. so expect to see the president here and two other stops later today and having key surrogates try to make sure the buckeye state is in his column on election day. out on the stump we've heard the president in his closing argument essentially make the point that mitt romney would be a rubber stamp for the right wing and here is a little bit more of what the president had to say last night in boulder, colorado. >> so we've made real progress these past four years, but colorado, we all know our work is not yet done. >> that's kind of the tone of the closing argument the obama campaign is making is that we've made some progress, but it's not time to turn back yet. so essentially asking the voters for another four years. >> steve: meanwhile what, is governor romney saying in the final days to convince people, hey, let's get a new guy in there? >> well, obviously both campaigns ar
. >> couple things about the firewall. you have to question, is obama really ahead in ohio when everyone seems to acknowledge romney's big advantage among independents? this is true of a bunch of swing states. there's a question about who is really ahead. but the other issue is, this is a well-known incumbent late in the race. he is probably persuaded most of the people he is going persuade and his campaign speeches are telling you that. it's a fiercely partisan ideological message he is driving. he is not talking to independents. >> let's get a clip of that. we want to give you an illustration of what james just pointed out. >> not a five point plan by governor romney, one-point plan. folks at the top get to play by their own rules pay lower tax rates than you do. outsource more jobs, let wall street run wild, and if this plan sounds familiar, it's because we tried it. governor romney knows this. he knows this plan isn't any different than the policies that led to the great recession. so, in the final weeks of his election, he is counting on you forgetting. what he stands for. he is hoping th
, maybe it was two months ago you told me barack obama was going to win, ohio. you said that things have now changed dramatically in the swing state of ohio. where do you stand tonight, sir? >> sean hannity, this state has flipped from the blue column not red column for three reasons. number one, secretary of state john houston in columbus would tell you that there is 220,000 fewer he democratic votes in early voting and 30,000 more republican votes. that means there is a 250,000 vote flip which is the margin by which obama won ohio in 2008. secondly, ohio is a republican state. 20 of the last 24 years we had republican governors. the legislature is overwhelmingly republican. every elected member of the supreme court of ohio is republican. 75% of elected officials in 88 counties are republicans. and thirdly, by independent voting measures, 10% to 15% of independent voters in ohio are going to vote for mitt romney. and also the catholic church when i go to saint sin vent in kenwood in since is national the minister is telling us vote for religious freedom. vote for the biblical definition
in ohio. obama administration made the epa a dirty term. >> how it could make a huge difference of who wins the election in the buckeye state. we have an inside look at ohio. >> welcome to cold country ohio eastern and southeastern ohio where mining dots the landscape. pining offers some of the best paying blue collar jobs. >> 60 years 100 percent medical, ten tal. >> they left to be a carpenter. they have 6 miners as a family. >> is the epa a dirty word around here? >> yes, sir. >> i have a little gas on the way in a cold mine dirty coal, fireplace being shut down left and right because of epa. that is not a good word around here. >> that helps explain the signs out here. >> the co-op rate tors are putting a lot of money around here. the signs were printed by co-op rate tors. >> new federal emissions regulations have been tough. in ohio alone a dozen have shut down. 7 ohio coal mines have also closed. they backed president obama in 08 is not endorsing. >> now vote democrat rick auger. that is just the way it is. >> they will vote democrat whether or not the guy is totally worthless. >
focused on today. >> nate silver predicts as of tonight, by the way, that president obama will win ohio and his chance of winning the presidency still very high. but the -- karen, i spoke to a former fema official earlier in the program and just asked him in budget terms what about a 40% cut in the fema budget, which would be the ryan plan, or what about some variation on that? call it 20%, call it 10%. what would it do in a situation like this? obviously he said it would be absolutely disastrous to their ability to respond to disasters. >> well, of course, it would be. i mean, look at what's happened. just suppose the last five or six years we've had these kinds of massive disasters where fema has been needed to come in. the federal government has been needed to come in almost once every year. so when we have these conversations and these political fights, and that's really, frankly, what i think is a little shameful about the event romney did today. it's fine to say, people, it's in our human nature, we want to get out there and kind of help. i wish he would have directed people to th
. i'm optimistic. politically, we have a great ground game in ohio. i have 14 or 15 obama offices in my congressional district. there are people knocking on doors right now, making phones. we have a huge weekend ahead of us for getting out the vote. a mobilized and energized base. we have had bill clinton here, joe biden, the president, etc. politically, we are going to get the job done in the next few days. host: we are talking with democratic congressman tim ryan of ohio, member of the budget committee. if you want to ask him about the race in ohio or budget committee questions, give us a call. democratic line -- 202-585-3880 the republican line -- 202-585- 3881 ohio residents, we still have that line open to you -- 202- 585-3883. congressman ryan, a couple comments on twitter about the jobs numbers. liz smith writes in -- frankly, that few of jobs shouldn't be getting anyone satisfied or excited. another comment from james ard -- the jobs numbers are irrelevant. obama has no hope of americans giving him another chance. your thoughts on those comments. guest: nobody is satisfied
into a 2004 nail biter. look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically that governor romney is looking at right now, when looks at this and what is the best thing politically president obama is looking at when they look at what is winding down between now and tuesday? >> romney looks at the number among independents and also looks at the possibility of building this national lead and i think closing on the economy. closing with what works for him in terms of making the argument he is the candidate of change. he has to hope for a big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the close and i think president obama has to feel good about how thing
ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. i'm not sure how the hurricane is playing for him, but his numbers ticked up. that's why the states that seem toss uppy seem like they are more firmly in the president's favor. >> let me ask you, and i didn't warn you i was going to ask you this, but you have been the subject of a lot of criticism in this last week in particular as if the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biassed or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against e pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> it's been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and there's this celebrity level attached to it that's new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same thing that we do. they all show basically the same thing. there's no way to slice and dice the data in ohio or iowa or wisconsin right now and say that romney is winning there. in fact, the polls would have t
. in wisconsin president obama up by seven points. in new hampshire the president leading in six points. in ohio president obama leading in three points. in virginia president obama leading by one point. in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost
now president obama and governor romney are both in ohio about to hold campaign events. up next we check in with the political panel. their thoughts on what we see playing you out. running into controversy, new york's decision to move ahead with this week's marathon has sparked a lot of backlash. >> the city of new york is talking about getting water out of the battery tunnel and prepares for a marathon. we're pulling bodies out of the water. >> we feel so strongly that this is the right thing to do for the city of new york, and that this can only be and must only be the starting place of our support. >> so what does your gut tell you? do you support the decision that the race go on. you can join the conversation on twitter and find us at @newsnation. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back. it's the final four. both campaigns will set a pace of the four remaining days we have. the president hitting seven battleground states from colorado to florida. romney hitting seven battle ground states over the next four days both making their closing arguments to voters and saying the election
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 118 (some duplicates have been removed)

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